New Delhi, September 25 Voting for the assembly elections in Haryana is to be held on October 5. In such a situation, all the political parties have put their full strength in this election battle. The main contest for the assembly elections to be held in Haryana was considered to be between the ruling BJP and the Congress, but this was only till the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) did not reveal all its cards.
After the announcement of the election dates in the state, political experts started believing that an anti-incumbency wave has formed in the state against the 10 years of work of the BJP government, which Congress can benefit from in this election. But, the entry of Aam Aadmi Party in the state elections has definitely reduced the trouble of BJP a bit and increased the trouble of Congress.
Actually, behind this are some election results of the state, which are indicating how the entry of Aam Aadmi Party in Haryana has become a cause of trouble for Congress. When all the efforts of Congress and Aam Aadmi Party to form an alliance for Haryana elections went in vain, AAP decided that the party will field its candidates on 90 assembly seats here.
With this announcement of Aam Aadmi Party, the Congress leaders and workers in the state realized that now it is difficult for their party to sail through the Haryana assembly elections.
The reason behind this thinking is also clear, because from the election results of Delhi to Goa, Madhya Pradesh, Punjab, Chhattisgarh, Uttarakhand and Rajasthan, Congress has come to know that wherever Congress will contest the elections as the first or second largest party, AAP’s entry there will spoil the whole game of Congress.
Actually, Congress has understood that the vote bank of Aam Aadmi Party is the same as the vote bank of Congress. In such a situation, division of votes between the two is going to give a big advantage to the third party.
Something similar was also seen in the recent assembly elections of states like Goa, Madhya Pradesh, Punjab, Chhattisgarh, Uttarakhand and Rajasthan. During the Lok Sabha elections, when Congress and AAP were fighting elections together against BJP, BJP had to bear the brunt of it in many states. But, this alliance did not work in the assembly elections and AAP-Congress decided to fight elections separately in Haryana.
The same picture was clearly visible during the assembly elections held in Uttarakhand and Punjab. While Congress was in power in Punjab, BJP was running the government in Uttarakhand. In such a situation, Aam Aadmi Party entered the election fray with full force in both the states. Congress was in power in Punjab, so AAP caused more damage to Congress there and it came to power by removing Congress there. However, the support base of BJP there has been nominal. In such a situation, there was no direct competition between both the parties with BJP.
On the other hand, BJP was in power in Uttarakhand for a long time and people felt that due to the anti-incumbency wave, people might choose Congress this time. But, the opposite happened. Not only did Congress suffer a setback here, most of the Aam Aadmi Party candidates could not even save their deposits and ultimately BJP maintained its dominance in this state.
Now if we look at the election results of Goa and Gujarat, we will know that there was an anti-incumbency wave against BJP in these states too and Congress felt that it would be able to form the government in both the states. But, nothing like this happened. The entry of Aam Aadmi Party caused huge losses to Congress in both Goa and Gujarat. In Gujarat, BJP returned to power with such a big majority, which it had not even thought of. At the same time, BJP was successful in forming the government in Goa too and the biggest reason for this was Aam Aadmi Party making a dent in the vote bank of Congress.
Now let us look at the election results of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. AAP put in all its strength in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, but it was not contesting on all the seats. In such a situation, Congress had to suffer losses on the seats where AAP had fielded candidates against Congress and BJP got an edge. The result was that BJP returned to power in Madhya Pradesh and Congress lost power in Rajasthan and it went to BJP.
The most surprising result in all this came from Chhattisgarh, where all the survey data at that time was testifying that Congress party could return to power in the state once again.
However, the election result surprised everyone and all political analysts including Congress believed that Aam Aadmi Party was behind the massive victory of BJP here. It had made a dent in the vote bank of Congress.
By the way, Congress had started believing this thing since the Delhi Assembly Election 2013 that due to Aam Aadmi Party, power in Delhi slipped out of their hands. In that election, AAP had won 28 seats in Delhi. After this, the government was formed here in alliance with Congress and then Arvind Kejriwal resigned in 2014. After this, in the elections held in Delhi, Aam Aadmi Party got such a huge majority, which no one had even imagined. Congress was wiped out. Congress also accepted that its vote bank has completely shifted to Aam Aadmi Party’s account.
Aam Aadmi Party also knows that it is easier to break into Congress’ vote bank,
